domingo, 28 de abril de 2013

Observing obedience...




Hot on the heels of the realisation that there is no correlation between levels of funding and pupil performance, we see too that there is no correlation between police numbers and levels of crime. Raedwald thinks 'the buggers are putting bromide in the tea or something' (hat-tip and image, click to enlarge). I used to question the numbers under New Labour, fiddling stats etc., and now I question them under the Coalition - playing with numbers - but it is definitely happening and some of the reductions are marked: "In fact, almost every category of criminality that you can think of is declining. Here is the even better news. This is not a blip. The downward trend is now very well established and can be traced back over many years." says Andrew Rawnsley, writing about this 'crime mystery' in today's' Observer.



It is similar in the US (no, really! since the 1990s); it's going down, but no one really knows why although a number of theories are espoused.

I think the lead in petrol hypothesis a bit weak, and no doubt the real reason is a blend of several complex issues that I am ignorant of but my own personal theory is the 'equalisation' of everyone: we don't have everything we want but we are more than comfortable; I am over-generalising grossly but everyone has a 'flash' TV, everyone has a smart phone and everyone has access to the Internet and there are now so many TV channels. Added to which barely anybody in the West is really in poverty or starving so what happens? We can't be bothered, we don't 'need' to steal; the only ones committing crime are the sickos who always will, no matter what, or those from a not-so-developed country/culture that they haven't been 'equalised' yet.

Observing obedience...


Hot on the heels of the realisation that there is no correlation between levels of funding and pupil performance, we see too that there is no correlation between police numbers and levels of crime. Raedwald thinks 'the buggers are putting bromide in the tea or something' (hat-tip and image, click to enlarge). I used to question the numbers under New Labour, fiddling stats etc., and now I question them under the Coalition - playing with numbers - but it is definitely happening and some of the reductions are marked: "In fact, almost every category of criminality that you can think of is declining. Here is the even better news. This is not a blip. The downward trend is now very well established and can be traced back over many years." says Andrew Rawnsley, writing about this 'crime mystery' in today's' Observer.

It is similar in the US (no, really! since the 1990s); it's going down, but no one really knows why although a number of theories are espoused. I think the lead in petrol hypothesis a bit weak, and no doubt the real reason is a blend of several complex issues that I am ignorant of but my own personal theory is the 'equalisation' of everyone: we don't have everything we want but we are more than comfortable; I am over-generalising grossly but everyone has a 'flash' TV, everyone has a smart phone and everyone has access to the Internet and there are now so many TV channels. Added to which barely anybody in the West is really in poverty or starving so what happens? We can't be bothered, we don't 'need' to steal; the only ones committing crime are the sickos who always will, no matter what, or those from a not-so-developed country/culture that they haven't been 'equalised' yet.

viernes, 26 de abril de 2013

Obvallated overspend...






"...But what didn't matter was money. No matter which way you looked at it, ‘the level of funding, per se, is almost irrelevant as a predictor or performance", Fraser Nelson in The Spectator on education spending. The UK Department for Education asked Deloitte to study the pupil database factoring in a number of variables: exam results, postcode, ethnicity, poverty...and spending.



What Fraser says is clear: from the report (pdf), Insight 4: "there is no correlation between levels of funding and pupil performance"...oops!

Obvallated overspend...


"...But what didn't matter was money. No matter which way you looked at it, ‘the level of funding, per se, is almost irrelevant as a predictor or performance", Fraser Nelson in The Spectator on education spending. The UK Department for Education asked Deloitte to study the pupil database factoring in a number of variables: exam results, postcode, ethnicity, poverty...and spending.

What Fraser says is clear: from the report (pdf), Insight 4: "there is no correlation between levels of funding and pupil performance"...oops!

jueves, 25 de abril de 2013

Ousting ocracy...




Things are heating up in Venezuela: now it isn't a case of 'We want a recount!', it has turned into "You stole the election!". [English] [Spanish]. The Electoral Commission has now dis-guarded even a pretence of being unbiased (and they still insist any vote audit - whenever they finally decide to say it might be - won't affect the election outcome!) and last night the fast-losing-any-credibility government decided to interrupt the broadcast: just as Capriles challenged the government his speech was interrupted by mandatory government broadcasting on all TV and radio networks! As Daniel says, "a cadena is the forced commandeering by the state of ALL TV AND RADIO STATIONS for a simultaneous broadcast". Why would this happen...well some may say that certain people need a Chavista to maintain power...and the Cubans in Venezuela that supervise many government offices and agencies, plus law enforcement, intelligence and military may have something to do with it. Just saying; HCR better watch his back...

Ousting ocracy...


Things are heating up in Venezuela: now it isn't a case of 'We want a recount!', it has turned into "You stole the election!". [English] [Spanish]. The Electoral Commission has now dis-guarded even a pretence of being unbiased (and they still insist any vote audit - whenever they finally decide to say it might be - won't affect the election outcome!) and last night the fast-losing-any-credibility government decided to interrupt the broadcast: just as Capriles challenged the government his speech was interrupted by mandatory government broadcasting on all TV and radio networks! As Daniel says, "a cadena is the forced commandeering by the state of ALL TV AND RADIO STATIONS for a simultaneous broadcast". Why would this happen...well some may say that certain people need a Chavista to maintain power...and the Cubans in Venezuela that supervise many government offices and agencies, plus law enforcement, intelligence and military may have something to do with it. Just saying; HCR better watch his back...

miércoles, 24 de abril de 2013

Omission, omission, omission III...




[Edited: 'dead' video/image removed]
Once again the BBC have been caught not quite telling you everything: in the same way they won't tell you why UK credit rating is downgraded (not cutting enough/borrowing too much) or about EU budget fraud may being more than 4 BILLION quid [Craig & Sue] they now proclaim there is "No indication of huge Romanian-Bulgarian influx" [Link]. Guido highlights what the tiny percentages really could mean. What 'just' 4.2% of Bulgarians and 1% of Romanians making definite plans to come to Britain in 2013 or 2014 translates to is 0.4 of a million new immigrants. Remember how we were told in 2004 the "UK Home Office expects between 5,000 and 13,000 migrants per year from new member states." hahahahahahahahaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa....New Labour willfully misinterpreting the 2003 report [pdf]



Sir Andrew Green, Chairman of Migration Watch UK said this week: "Numbers suggested on the scale by this [BBC] survey would make it impossible for the Government to sustain their target of tens of thousands, assuming they reach it by the end of the parliament."

Omission, omission, omission III...


[Edited: 'dead' video/image removed] Once again the BBC have been caught not quite telling you everything: in the same way they won't tell you why UK credit rating is downgraded (not cutting enough/borrowing too much) or about EU budget fraud may being more than 4 BILLION quid [Craig & Sue] they now proclaim there is "No indication of huge Romanian-Bulgarian influx" [Link]. Guido highlights what the tiny percentages really could mean. What 'just' 4.2% of Bulgarians and 1% of Romanians making definite plans to come to Britain in 2013 or 2014 translates to is 0.4 of a million new immigrants. Remember how we were told in 2004 the "UK Home Office expects between 5,000 and 13,000 migrants per year from new member states." hahahahahahahahaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa....New Labour willfully misinterpreting the 2003 report [pdf]

Sir Andrew Green, Chairman of Migration Watch UK said this week: "Numbers suggested on the scale by this [BBC] survey would make it impossible for the Government to sustain their target of tens of thousands, assuming they reach it by the end of the parliament."