Obmutescent over obsolete obstetrics...

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...well, not obsolete yet but we're heading that way. 

As David Bell says on Twitter reviewing the bad cat's latest Substack: "Since 9 months after mid-2021, birth rates have widely fallen. If only something consistent had happened then, like a change in climate or a monetizable virus outbreak, the media would be able to discuss it. Even public health agencies might."

bad cattitude: "the timing of the inflections both for commencement and for leveling off at low rates once vaccination was widespread are striking and (as laid out in the link above) there is strong a prior reason rooted in clinical studies to suspect durable fertility suppression from mRNA vaccines." [sic]

"...but the trends seem widespread and no one is having a good 2022."

Overcrowding or overreacting II...

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OK, OK, I've been wittering on about immigration for a while, and nothing changes: I'll repeat some of those words from last year:

• There is no housing crisis: there is an immigration crisis.




• There is no hospital/A&E crisis: there is an immigration crisis. 




• There is no school-place/teacher crisis: there is an immigration crisis.




• There is no doctor/nurse numbers crisis: there is an immigration crisis.




• There is no police/fire service crisis: there is an immigration crisis.




• There is no infrastructure/road crisis: there is an immigration crisis.




• There is no employment crisis: there is an immigration crisis.  
  

As Migration watch says: "What is the problem?" [LINK] "Immigration is a natural part of an open economy and society. The
problem for the UK is that the current level of immigration is much too
high."

Now, to make matters worse, the Office of National Statistics say they have been underestimating migration numbers for ages, something we really knew but nobody can prove: "Our research has clearly shown that no single source of data can fully reflect the complexity of migration."...getting their excuses in early.

Trouble is, ONS is 'official' figures and the excellent Migration Watch also work off 'official' figures; the UK population 'officially' stands at 67 million . HOWEVER, it is surely much, much higher: "...the population of the UK is presently somewhere between 77 and 80 million"...in 2007! [LINK], that report disappeared for a while and has resurfaced. That article has also had its debunkers but amusingly no proof has ever been given to really disprove it; yet with the inaccuracy of the census, hundreds of thousands of additonal National Insurance numbers every year, the plethora of crises (see list above), the unknown number of illegal immigrants etc., we can safely say the article was most likely more right than wrong...and the ONS figures are a massive UNDER estimate.

Overcrowding or overreacting II...

---

OK, OK, I've been wittering on about immigration for a while, and nothing changes: I'll repeat some of those words from last year:

• There is no housing crisis: there is an immigration crisis.
• There is no hospital/A&E crisis: there is an immigration crisis. 
• There is no school-place/teacher crisis: there is an immigration crisis.
• There is no doctor/nurse numbers crisis: there is an immigration crisis.
• There is no police/fire service crisis: there is an immigration crisis.
• There is no infrastructure/road crisis: there is an immigration crisis.
• There is no employment crisis: there is an immigration crisis.  

As Migration watch says: "What is the problem?" [LINK] "Immigration is a natural part of an open economy and society. The problem for the UK is that the current level of immigration is much too high."

Now, to make matters worse, the Office of National Statistics say they have been underestimating migration numbers for ages, something we really knew but nobody can prove: "Our research has clearly shown that no single source of data can fully reflect the complexity of migration."...getting their excuses in early.

Trouble is, ONS is 'official' figures and the excellent Migration Watch also work off 'official' figures; the UK population 'officially' stands at 67 million . HOWEVER, it is surely much, much higher: "...the population of the UK is presently somewhere between 77 and 80 million"...in 2007! [LINK], that report disappeared for a while and has resurfaced. That article has also had its debunkers but amusingly no proof has ever been given to really disprove it; yet with the inaccuracy of the census, hundreds of thousands of additonal National Insurance numbers every year, the plethora of crises (see list above), the unknown number of illegal immigrants etc., we can safely say the article was most likely more right than wrong...and the ONS figures are a massive UNDER estimate.

Ongoing operations; oncoming ochlesis...

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There is no housing crisis: there is an immigration crisis. *

There is no hospital/A&E crisis: there is an immigration crisis.  *

There is no school-place/teacher crisis: there is an immigration crisis. *

There is no doctor/nurse numbers crisis: there is an immigration crisis. *

There is no police/fire service crisis: there is an immigration crisis. *

There is no infrastructure/road crisis: there is an immigration crisis. *

There is no employment crisis: there is an immigration crisis. *  **



Ochlesis is the sickness resulting from overcrowded living conditions, there is a lot of space in our green and pleasant land BUT the UK cannot cope with the continued net migration of a quarter of a million people EVERY year; every year in fact since vampire Tony Blair and his New Labour traitors came to power: a huge increase in 1997 and a further equally huge increase in 2003 from which the average has never really come down. [Migration Watch: it "didn’t just happen; the deliberate policy of Ministers from late 2000...was to open up the UK to mass immigration"] Labour wanted more voters, simple as...and Labour Lite (previously called the Conservative Party) continued unabashed. Is this going to be a major cause of civil unrest, if we don't have Holy war first? There is another factor: I am willing to bet everything I own (OK, that's not much) that the emigration does NOT match the net immigration in terms of 'type of person'; by that I mean that although many emigrating will be students finishing their courses, workers finishing their contract etc., many will also be a brain drain, a white flight, call it what you will. Money will be leaving, contributors will be leaving and takers will be arriving.

Net migration is at a similar level to early 2014 with 244,000 more people coming to the UK than leaving, so migration is adding to the UK population https://t.co/cLspmrVTrb pic.twitter.com/g80KjFDPbi

— ONS (@ONS) 22 February 2018

Yes, a gross generalisation that I cannot prove...but I'd still bet everything that it's true.

Go to ANY part of England and you will see thousands of houses being built, THOUSANDS. We are hardly building at all on 'brownfield'/urban sites; we are carving up and destroying FOR EVER, new 'greenfield' land, mature countryside. Anyone who has traveled by train will see thousands on the approach to every urban station acres of mess, crumbled old factories, deserted rubble-strewn wastelands that are NOT being built on...why? Water, gas, electric will already mostly be there, approach roads are already there; nearby schools and shops are already there.



* All this is straight forward and luckily it also has a very simple solution; with the will it could be implemented in a week.

** A total of 497,000 National Insurance Numbers were issued to adult EU nationals in the year ending December 2017 (no non-EU counted in that total...)

Ongoing operations; oncoming ochlesis...

---

There is no housing crisis: there is an immigration crisis. *
There is no hospital/A&E crisis: there is an immigration crisis.  *
There is no school-place/teacher crisis: there is an immigration crisis. *
There is no doctor/nurse numbers crisis: there is an immigration crisis. *
There is no police/fire service crisis: there is an immigration crisis. *
There is no infrastructure/road crisis: there is an immigration crisis. *
There is no employment crisis: there is an immigration crisis. *  **

Ochlesis is the sickness resulting from overcrowded living conditions, there is a lot of space in our green and pleasant land BUT the UK cannot cope with the continued net migration of a quarter of a million people EVERY year; every year in fact since vampire Tony Blair and his New Labour traitors came to power: a huge increase in 1997 and a further equally huge increase in 2003 from which the average has never really come down. [Migration Watch: it "didn’t just happen; the deliberate policy of Ministers from late 2000...was to open up the UK to mass immigration"] Labour wanted more voters, simple as...and Labour Lite (previously called the Conservative Party) continued unabashed. Is this going to be a major cause of civil unrest, if we don't have Holy war first? There is another factor: I am willing to bet everything I own (OK, that's not much) that the emigration does NOT match the net immigration in terms of 'type of person'; by that I mean that although many emigrating will be students finishing their courses, workers finishing their contract etc., many will also be a brain drain, a white flight, call it what you will. Money will be leaving, contributors will be leaving and takers will be arriving.

Net migration is at a similar level to early 2014 with 244,000 more people coming to the UK than leaving, so migration is adding to the UK population https://t.co/cLspmrVTrb pic.twitter.com/g80KjFDPbi

— ONS (@ONS) 22 February 2018

Yes, a gross generalisation that I cannot prove...but I'd still bet everything that it's true. Go to ANY part of England and you will see thousands of houses being built, THOUSANDS. We are hardly building at all on 'brownfield'/urban sites; we are carving up and destroying FOR EVER, new 'greenfield' land, mature countryside. Anyone who has traveled by train will see thousands on the approach to every urban station acres of mess, crumbled old factories, deserted rubble-strewn wastelands that are NOT being built on...why? Water, gas, electric will already mostly be there, approach roads are already there; nearby schools and shops are already there.

* All this is straight forward and luckily it also has a very simple solution; with the will it could be implemented in a week.
** A total of 497,000 National Insurance Numbers were issued to adult EU nationals in the year ending December 2017 (no non-EU counted in that total...)

Oncoming oneirodynia osmesis...

---

"An extra 68,000 teachers from black and minority ethnic (BME) backgrounds need to be recruited to reflect England's school population, figures show. Just 13% of state-funded schools' teachers are currently from a BME background..." the BBC tells us. Now you may think 13% sounds about right, you may recall the consensus/ONS [Link] saying that England & Wales ethnicity has fallen to 86% (it was 94%+ in 1991) ...sooo, 14% non white pretty much equates to the numbers within the teacher ranks: 13%. However, the BBC goes on to say (finishing the sentence) "...compared to 27% of pupils." Let that sink in, that last bit: 27% of pupils in England's state school population are from black or minority ethic backgrounds. 27%! WTF? Of course that is the average; looking at the image you'll see it can reach 90% in some areas.

Oncoming oneirodynia osmesis...

---

"An extra 68,000 teachers from black and minority ethnic (BME) backgrounds need to be recruited to reflect England's school population, figures show. Just 13% of state-funded schools' teachers are currently from a BME background..." the BBC tells us. Now you may think 13% sounds about right, you may recall the consensus/ONS [Link] saying that England & Wales ethnicity has fallen to 86% (it was 94%+ in 1991) ...sooo, 14% non white pretty much equates to the numbers within the teacher ranks: 13%. However, the BBC goes on to say (finishing the sentence) "...compared to 27% of pupils." Let that sink in, that last bit: 27% of pupils in England's state school population are from black or minority ethic backgrounds. 27%! WTF? Of course that is the average; looking at the image you'll see it can reach 90% in some areas.

Observing others II...

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The image below is an interesting view of the world: Hong Kong huge (relatively), Greenland gone: with countries scaled based on their population there are some fascinating distortions.

Image created by Reddit user TeaDranks. Source: Word Economic Forum (weforum.org); hat-tip Zero Hedge. Not that much has changed in 10 years and Paul Breding’s 2005 version.

Observing others II...

---

The image below is an interesting view of the world: Hong Kong huge (relatively), Greenland gone: with countries scaled based on their population there are some fascinating distortions.

Image created by Reddit user TeaDranks. Source: Word Economic Forum (weforum.org); hat-tip Zero Hedge. Not that much has changed in 10 years and Paul Breding’s 2005 version.

Overflowing ordure...

---

The picture (left) is from the DT, another HERE shows before and after shots. Reading the sign you can see what is, in effect, all you need to know about the flood disaster and damage that is currently happening in the north of England. The problem is NOT climate change! The floods are NOT unprecedented and have happened for centuries! In England and the UK it rains a lot; sometimes lots and lots! Sometimes it is snow and the thaw causes the floods; sometimes just heavy rain.  For hundreds of years up until 1997 rivers known for flooding were regularly dredged (as were the Somerset Levels); for places like York, currently flooded from the river Ouse overflowing, there is data from centuries ago: "Systematic flood level readings from 1877 and a wealth of documentary records dating back as far as 1263 AD give the City of York a long and rich history of flood records."... "The inclusion of the extended historical flood record (1263–2000) provides an additional eleven events pre-1800, of which five are greater than the largest event in the period 1800–2000."**



The Environment Agency is not fit for purpose and it's adherence to the crazy "....EU directive which discourages proper dredging has been identified as an issue." [WUWT]. I am sure it is inefficiency and inadequacy from the EA making the problems worse: I am certain they wouldn't be doing this on purpose...would they?



**Source: Reassessment of flood frequency using historical information for the River Ouse at York, UK (1200–2000) Hydrological Sciences Journal, Volume 55, Issue 7, 2010. Neil Macdonald & Andrew R. Black

Overflowing ordure...

---

The picture (left) is from the DT, another HERE shows before and after shots. Reading the sign you can see what is, in effect, all you need to know about the flood disaster and damage that is currently happening in the north of England. The problem is NOT climate change! The floods are NOT unprecedented and have happened for centuries! In England and the UK it rains a lot; sometimes lots and lots! Sometimes it is snow and the thaw causes the floods; sometimes just heavy rain.  For hundreds of years up until 1997 rivers known for flooding were regularly dredged (as were the Somerset Levels); for places like York, currently flooded from the river Ouse overflowing, there is data from centuries ago: "Systematic flood level readings from 1877 and a wealth of documentary records dating back as far as 1263 AD give the City of York a long and rich history of flood records."... "The inclusion of the extended historical flood record (1263–2000) provides an additional eleven events pre-1800, of which five are greater than the largest event in the period 1800–2000."**

The Environment Agency is not fit for purpose and it's adherence to the crazy "....EU directive which discourages proper dredging has been identified as an issue." [WUWT]. I am sure it is inefficiency and inadequacy from the EA making the problems worse: I am certain they wouldn't be doing this on purpose...would they?

**Source: Reassessment of flood frequency using historical information for the River Ouse at York, UK (1200–2000) Hydrological Sciences Journal, Volume 55, Issue 7, 2010. Neil Macdonald & Andrew R. Black

Overpopulation obscurantism...

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The 'tale that this image tells' should not be a reason to overpopulate London (click to enlarge/see in focus!).

Overpopulation obscurantism...

---

The 'tale that this image tells' should not be a reason to overpopulate London (click to enlarge/see in focus!).

Our oblectation...

---

Talk of floods and cold and climate change and energy bills etc is one thing (and certainly a bummer when it affects you personally) but the truth is that the good news far outweighs the bad...FAR outweighs: "It’s a story that no one organisation or government can take credit for – and a story that doesn't particularly suit anyone’s agenda. But the story is there, for those with an eye to see it." Fraser Nelson at The Spectator on "The biggest shocker of 2013? That it really is a wonderful world": deaths from disease, war, extreme weather etc are minuscule compare to previous decades mainly due to money and spreading it about 'via a system known by its detractors as global capitalism'.



Still - pissing on any fireworks that good news may have launched - will this only accelerate us towards our end?



Update: ...and this won't help!

Our oblectation...

---

Talk of floods and cold and climate change and energy bills etc is one thing (and certainly a bummer when it affects you personally) but the truth is that the good news far outweighs the bad...FAR outweighs: "It’s a story that no one organisation or government can take credit for – and a story that doesn't particularly suit anyone’s agenda. But the story is there, for those with an eye to see it." Fraser Nelson at The Spectator on "The biggest shocker of 2013? That it really is a wonderful world": deaths from disease, war, extreme weather etc are minuscule compare to previous decades mainly due to money and spreading it about 'via a system known by its detractors as global capitalism'.

Still - pissing on any fireworks that good news may have launched - will this only accelerate us towards our end?

Update: ...and this won't help!

Ongoing overcrowding II...

---

...of a green and pleasant land [Owsblog 2006].  "Every country must have firm control over immigration
and Britain is no exception." Labour election manifesto 1997. From Ongoing overcrowding..."We know that in their 1st term - from 1997 - immigration tripled; in their 2nd term it quadrupled (from the 1997 figure) [Migration Watch - pdf]. This seemed bad enough and then we found out it was entirely intentional and had a 'subsidiary political purpose' and was not just the result of a booming economy and perceived skills shortage.

Now, we learn of ANOTHER round of secret immigration intentions: "The secret immigration policy they tried to hide". "Behind closed doors, EU negotiations will trigger a new wave of cheap labour into Britain." Who and when will the public be informed? These are new, irreversible commitments."

The Coalition have done almost nothing to change any of this and now we see where our politicians lead us: 13 per cent of residents of England and Wales were born outside the UK and just over half arrived in the last 10 years, [ONS Link]. An important stat: now 4.8% of the UK are Muslim, more than all other religions (excepting Christian and 'no religion') put together; not too high you may say but I remind you of Edward Cline's 'Jihad by the Numbers' [FSM] which seems a pretty accurate index when you read through the countries:"At 2% and 3% they [Muslims] begin to proselytize from other ethnic minorities and disaffected groups with major recruiting from the jails and among street gangs."



"From 5% on they [Muslims] exercise an inordinate influence in proportion to their percentage of the population. They will push for the introduction of halal ("clean" by Islamic standards) food, thereby securing food preparation jobs for Muslims. They will increase pressure on supermarket chains to feature it on their shelves - along with threats for failure to comply (United States)."



"At this point, they [Muslims] will work to get the ruling government to allow them to rule themselves under Sharia, or Islamic law. The ultimate goal of Islam is not to convert the world but to establish Sharia law over the entire world."



Then it starts to get a bit nasty and it's worth noting David's comment here: that Muslim behaviour is not just dependent on their proportion of the population but on the character of the local population: "For instance, in a strongly anti-Muslim nation such as China, Muslims will have to be much larger then two percent before they start to misbehave or go on Jihad."



"...In a free and tolerant society, trouble starts at a much lower level."




Update: sorry for multiple Owsblog back-links (not trying to boost hits like Guido et al!) but another point to note is the health aspect: a 'small proportion of the non-UK born bear the greatest burden of infectious disease reported in the UK.' In 2010, 73% of TB cases reported in the UK were immigrants - of those with country of birth information available (84% of that total are from only two regions: 57% South Asia [almost entirely India, Pakistan and Bangladesh] and 27% from sub Saharan Africa [mainly Zimbabwe and Nigeria]). The same goes for almost 60% of newly diagnosed cases of HIV, and 80% of hepatitis B infected UK blood donors (this data from the HPA PowerPoint; link at bottom of page HERE).

Ongoing overcrowding II...

---

...of a green and pleasant land [Owsblog 2006].  "Every country must have firm control over immigration and Britain is no exception." Labour election manifesto 1997. From Ongoing overcrowding..."We know that in their 1st term - from 1997 - immigration tripled; in their 2nd term it quadrupled (from the 1997 figure) [Migration Watch - pdf]. This seemed bad enough and then we found out it was entirely intentional and had a 'subsidiary political purpose' and was not just the result of a booming economy and perceived skills shortage. Now, we learn of ANOTHER round of secret immigration intentions: "The secret immigration policy they tried to hide". "Behind closed doors, EU negotiations will trigger a new wave of cheap labour into Britain." Who and when will the public be informed? These are new, irreversible commitments."

The Coalition have done almost nothing to change any of this and now we see where our politicians lead us: 13 per cent of residents of England and Wales were born outside the UK and just over half arrived in the last 10 years, [ONS Link]. An important stat: now 4.8% of the UK are Muslim, more than all other religions (excepting Christian and 'no religion') put together; not too high you may say but I remind you of Edward Cline's 'Jihad by the Numbers' [FSM] which seems a pretty accurate index when you read through the countries:"At 2% and 3% they [Muslims] begin to proselytize from other ethnic minorities and disaffected groups with major recruiting from the jails and among street gangs."

"From 5% on they [Muslims] exercise an inordinate influence in proportion to their percentage of the population. They will push for the introduction of halal ("clean" by Islamic standards) food, thereby securing food preparation jobs for Muslims. They will increase pressure on supermarket chains to feature it on their shelves - along with threats for failure to comply (United States)."

"At this point, they [Muslims] will work to get the ruling government to allow them to rule themselves under Sharia, or Islamic law. The ultimate goal of Islam is not to convert the world but to establish Sharia law over the entire world."

Then it starts to get a bit nasty and it's worth noting David's comment here: that Muslim behaviour is not just dependent on their proportion of the population but on the character of the local population: "For instance, in a strongly anti-Muslim nation such as China, Muslims will have to be much larger then two percent before they start to misbehave or go on Jihad."

"...In a free and tolerant society, trouble starts at a much lower level."

Update: sorry for multiple Owsblog back-links (not trying to boost hits like Guido et al!) but another point to note is the health aspect: a 'small proportion of the non-UK born bear the greatest burden of infectious disease reported in the UK.' In 2010, 73% of TB cases reported in the UK were immigrants - of those with country of birth information available (84% of that total are from only two regions: 57% South Asia [almost entirely India, Pakistan and Bangladesh] and 27% from sub Saharan Africa [mainly Zimbabwe and Nigeria]). The same goes for almost 60% of newly diagnosed cases of HIV, and 80% of hepatitis B infected UK blood donors (this data from the HPA PowerPoint; link at bottom of page HERE).